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If the base rate fallacy is a fallacy, does it matter how frequently it is committed?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 December 1997

Jonathan E. Adler
Affiliation:
Department of Philosophy, Brooklyn College and the Graduate Center, C.U.N.Y. Brooklyn, NY 11210 jeabc@cunyvm.cuny.edu

Abstract

In many base rate studies, a judgment is required for which the base rates are relevant, and subjects do not use them. It is inferred that the base rates are ignored; I question this inference. Second, I argue that the base rate fallacy is not less significant for what it reveals about human reasoning, if it occurs less frequently than has been alleged.

Type
Continuing Commentary
Copyright
© 1997 Cambridge University Press

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